In a major swing state victory, the Associated Press has called Florida for Trump by 400,000 votes.
The state holds 29 prized electoral college votes, which are crucial to President Trump’s path to victory, especially with Biden’s newly-emerged competitiveness in traditionally-red states in the Sun Belt like Georgia and Arizona.
Florida is known for its extremely close contests and for deciding races by exceptionally small margins — the biggest victory scored in the past five presidential races has been George W. Bush’s five-point edge over John Kerry in 2004. The state went for Barack Obama in both 2008 and 2012, but Hillary Clinton lost in 2016 by over 100,000 votes.
Updated Nov. 3, 7:14 p.m.
With 91% of the vote counted, Trump leads Biden by almost 300,000 votes. Biden underperforms in Miami Dade compared to Clinton in 2016.
Updated Nov. 3, 4:44 p.m.
With 90% of the vote counted in Duval county, Biden leads with 22,000 votes. President Trump managed a thin victory in the county in 2016.
With 83% of the vote reporting in Broward county, Biden holds a 33% lead — an expected sweep in a democratic stronghold.
Updated Nov. 3, 4:23 p.m.
With 53% of the vote reporting, Joe Biden maintains leads with OVER 200,00 votes.
Florida, which hasn’t voted against an incumbent president in the past 40 years, remains a true toss-up in the last week leading up to the election.
A poll conducted last week by ABC News and the Washington Post showed Trump leading over Biden by two points in Florida. The poll also suggested an even split between independent voters in the state (48-47, Biden Trump). Biden and Trump are also in a statistical tie for the sizable senior vote in the state, with Trump holding a razor-thin edge of one point.
As of Nov. 1, 63.8% of registered voters have already cast their ballots, encompassing over 8 million votes. The partisan split between the votes are almost equal, with Democrats having a narrow lead of 100,000 votes over Republicans going into election day.
Due to Florida’s history with high early and mail-in voting, results are expected to be announced before midnight on Tuesday. Election laws allow officials to start counting mail-in votes earlier than other states, so processing is already underway.