Biden secures a swing state victory in Arizona

Tracking presidential results and the senate race between Martha McSally and Mark Kelly.

The morning after election day, former Vice President Joe Biden has secured swing state Arizona and its 11 electoral votes.

Biden won with 51% of the vote according to the AP. Biden’s victory in the swing state possibly came as a relief to the Democratic Party with races in other states, like Michigan and Wisconsin, remaining so tight.

Biden’s win in Arizona indicates that support for President Trump among Latinx voters in Florida might remain specific to the state, rather than forecasting the behavior of other large Latinx voter populations.

The former vice president’s win in Arizona, in tandem with Democrat Mark Kelly’s senatorial victory, may signal that the longtime Republican stronghold may turn blue in the future.

Previous Updates

Updated Nov. 4, 6:28 a.m.

Kelly officially wins Arizona Senate seat

Democratic challenger Mark Kelly has won Arizona’s race for Senate, defeating Sen. Martha McSally by 5.2 percentage points (52.6% to 48.4% respectively), according to the AP.

In light of Kelly’s win, Arizona will send two Democrats to represent the Senate since the 1950s, according to the New York Times.

Kelly’s win in Arizona could signal that the Republican stronghold has begun to turn blue, especially with Joe Biden securing the state’s electoral votes in a similar fashion.

Arizona has yet to count all of the ballots, despite AP declaring Kelly the winner.

Updated Nov. 3, 10:24 p.m.

426,000 remaining votes in Maricopa County

12 News reporter Brahm Resnik tweeted that Arizonans cast an estimated 168,000 in-person votes today that have not yet been counted in Maricopa County. In addition to the in-person ballots, the county has 248,000 early ballots and 10,000 provisional ballots left to tally. The number of early-ballots handed in today remains unknown, meaning the total votes in Maricopa County may require overnight counting, delaying the state’s overall results.

Updated Nov. 3, 9:51 p.m.

2.5 million ballots counted in Arizona

Nearly four hours after polling stations began to close, Arizona has counted 2.5 million ballots. The historically red state has shown up blue so far, with both Senate candidate Mark Kelly and presidential candidate Joe Biden leading their Republican opponents, according to the AP.

Updated Nov. 3, 9:30 p.m.

McSally campaign refuses to concede in light of Kelly speech

Sen. Martha McSally’s campaign has announced they will not concede to Mark Kelly in light of his speech in Tucson, which sounded “very much like a victory speech” to 12 News anchor Mitch Carr and others at the local news station.

“Like Mark said, every vote should be counted,” said Caroline Anderegg, Communications Director of McSally for Senate, in a statement reported by 12 News anchor Bianca Buono.

“With one million votes to be counted and no Election Day results reported from Maricopa County, the decision to make a call at this point is irresponsible," Anderegg said. "We will continue to wait for votes to come in. This race is not over.”

Updated Nov. 3, 9:12 p.m.

Kelly addresses supporters in Tucson while Senate race remains undecided

Mark Kelly spoke to a small, socially distanced crowd of supporters in Tucson Tuesday night while maintaining a double-digit lead over his opponent Sen. Martha McSally.

“I am also confident that when the votes are counted, we will be successful in this vision,” Kelly said.

Standing before a row of American flags, Kelly thanked his wife, former congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords, and children, as well as his donors and campaign volunteers.

“This mission has never been mine alone,” Kelly said.

Kelly mentioned his late parents, highlighting his mother who became the first female police officer in their town, and taught him the importance of chasing one’s dreams, leading him to run for an Arizona Senate seat.

Kelly took the time to touch on all of his main campaign points: protection of immigration policies, Social Security, healthcare for those with preexisting conditions, and COVID-19 relief. The Democratic candidate also praised late Republican Senator John McCain, whose seat was filled by McSally in 2019. Kelly ended with a call to action to Arizonans.

“Let’s get to work, Arizona, and let’s do it together.”

The race has yet to be called, with 74% of the vote reported.

Updated Nov. 3, 8:30 p.m.

Kelly maintains a steady lead with 73% of votes reported.

Mark Kelly’s lead against Sen. Martha McSally has held steady at 10 percentage points (55% to 45% respectively) with 73% of the votes reported, according to the AP. Voting reports have creeped out of the state in the past hour, with the slow counting of in-person ballots following the flood of early-voting ballots.

Updated Nov. 3, 6:14 p.m.

Arizona named as USPS district swept for ballots

Local broadcaster Brahm Resnik tweeted that Arizona was one of the USPS districts that a Federal Judge wanted swept for ballots as reported by the Washington Post.

Secretary of State Katie Hobbs told Resnik that the sweep began statewide last week, and was done again today at 3:30 p.m. PST. Hobbs told Resnik that she believed no ballots were left behind in Arizona post offices.

Updated Nov. 3, 6:00 p.m.

Arizona polls begin to close

Arizona’s polls have begun to close, though results will not be released until 8 pm, according to 12 News’s Twitter.

Updated Nov. 3, 5:50 p.m.

1.3 million signatures verified on Arizona mail-in ballots, Arizona breaks voting records

More than 130,000 people have voted in-person in Arizona so far, and 1.3 million signatures on absentee ballots have been verified as of 3:30 PST, according to Arizona Elections Info’s Twitter. Counties cannot release election results until 7 p.m. PST.

Arizona has broken voting records this election, with 1 million more people voting in this election than in 2016′s general election as of Monday.

Democrat Mark Kelly and GOP Senator Martha McSally are going head to head in the battleground state of Arizona for a seat in the U.S. Senate.

See how Latinx voters may make the difference in how Arizona swings.

Martha McSally

After the death of Senator John McCain, Arizona governor Doug Ducey appointed Martha McSally y to fill the vacant seat. She is now running in this special election to serve the remainder of McCain’s term, which was supposed to end in 2022.

McSally is a former congresswoman for Arizona’s second congressional district. She ran for Arizona’s other Senate seat in 2018, formerly held by Senator Jeff Flake, but lost to Senator Krysten Sinema.

McSally’s campaign stresses strict immigration policies, including the building of a wall along the US-Mexico border, expanding job opportunities in Arizona, Second Amendment rights, and an anti-abortion stance. Her campaign also highlighted “standing up to China for their role in unleashing [COVID-19] on us.”

Mark Kelly

Shortly after McSally’s appointment to the Senate in 2019, Mark Kelly announced that he would challenge her in the 2020 special election as a Democrat.

Kelly co-founded the Giffords Foundation with his wife, former congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords. Giffords resigned after suffering severe brain damage from an assassination attempt in 2011.

Kelly’s campaign emphasizes expanding access to affordable healthcare, improving Arizona’s economy, immigration reform and protecting Social Security benefits for seniors.

The race for funding

Both Candidates are formidable fundraisers. McSally has proved herself as one of the most talented GOP fundraisers, however she has yet to catch up with Kelly, whose campaign has brought in tens of millions of dollars per quarter.

Arizona has become one of the most expensive Senate races of the 2020 election. Combined, the two campaigns have raised approximately $132 million dollars in their quest to claim the battleground state.


In almost every non-partisan poll of 2020, Kelly has led McSally by an excess of four percentage points, according to FiveThirty Eight. Real Clear Politics’s average of all polls shows Kelly leading by an average of eight percentage points.

In an October 9-13 poll of likely voters, Monmouth University found that Kelly lead McSally by 10 points, (52% to 42% respectively).

The race began growing tighter closer to the election, with an October 28-30 poll by Data Orbital, a data analysis and political consulting firm based in Phoenix, showing Kelly ahead of McSally by just one percentage point (47.1% to 46% respectively).


In addition to winning back the White House, Democrats hope to take control of the Senate for the first time since 2015. This would be a major accomplishment for the party and allow either the support of future president Joe Biden’s policies or inhibit President Donald Trump’s second term efforts.

Of the 35 Senatorial races this election, Democrats need a total of four more seats to win back a 51-seat Senate majority.