Gen Z voters: New to voting, but not new to politics

Gen Z voters in the 39th District could flip a tight race. Two share their thoughts on the district's Congressional candidates

California flag. (Wikimedia commons.)
Sitting on a bench alongside a wall of portraits of past presidential hopefuls in the Fullerton Museum Center, Elise Lee, a politically energetic 18-year-old Korean-American remembers feeling frustrated after the 2016 presidential election.
“I was dying to vote, but a couple days after the election, that’s when my birthday was.” Lee said. “I just kind of had to stand by and watch it all unfold.”   

Lee, like many other Americans born in the mid-1990s to early 2000s, will be a first-time voter in 2018. Despite their lack of experience as voters, research suggests Gen Z voters are more optimistic and less skeptical about politics than prior generations. CIRCLE (Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement), a non-partisan research group that specializes in youth political engagement, found that 73 percent of Generation Z believes in “working together to promote important political goals even if we face difficulties.” With the midterm elections coming up, Gen Z views its vote as the best way to collectively promote its political goals and its voice this fall.

Growing Political Skepticism among Gen Z  CIRCLE)

“Even if you don’t think your vote counts, it sends a message to the current establishment. Like, ‘hey, I’m not happy with the job that you’re doing.’ And even if you don’t get voted out now, I’m still going to watch you,” Lee said.   

And right now the race to watch is in Lee’s hometown in California’s 39th District, which includes parts of Orange, Los Angeles and San Bernardino counties. The incumbent Republican Representative and Chairman of the House Foreign Relations Committee, Ed Royce, announced his resignation via Twitter in January after serving in the House of Representatives since 1993. The 2016 election and his low approval rating signaled to Royce that his District was changing and a re-election was not a guarantee. In a poll funded by a Democratic-leaning group and conducted by Public Policy Polling, Royce had an approval rating of 36 percent and Donald Trump had a disapproval rating of 60 percent within the district. The opening in the 39th District where Hillary Clinton won by 8.5 percentage points signaled to Democrats that this could be a possible seat pick-up.

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39th Congressional District Map (LA Times)

After the June 5 primaries in California, Young Kim and Gil Cisneros became the two nominees fighting for the open seat. In a poll conducted by the New York Times/ Siena College in mid-October, 47 percent of the 496 respondents planned to vote for Gil Cisneros compared to 46 percent for Young Kim. With these close margins, this race has been labeled as a 2018 battleground race that can influence who controls the 116th House of Representatives.

Kim, a Republican Korean-American immigrant, would be the first Korean woman elected to Congress. She previously served as the state assemblywoman for the 65th District. She highlights her experience in public service not only as an assemblywoman, but also as Director of Community Operations for Royce for two decades. With a background as a previous staffer, Kim quickly received Royce’s endorsement.

But she hasn’t received Elise Lee’s.

"I still have that Korean pride," Lee said. "Of course I want there to be more Koreans in office, but she doesn't exactly embody what Koreans care about. She doesn't appeal to younger Korean Americans."

Lee was quick to add, "if you're voting for Young Kim, it's another vote for Donald Trump."

Cisneros, a Democrat and Navy veteran, is a 2010 Mega Millions jackpot winner, an education advocate and a philanthropist. He is part of the Hispanic community that makes up one-third of the district. Without a position in elected office, Cisneros was endorsed by former President Barack Obama where Obama noted his veteran status as “more Navy medals for his service than his years in politics.” The Democratic nominee also worked closely with the former first lady, Michelle Obama, on her “Reach Higher” campaign to help aid kids access higher education. Cisneros and his wife, Jackie, also started scholarships for Hispanic students at George Washington University and the University of Southern California. (Editor’s note: the Annenberg Media Center has received a donation from Cisneros and his wife. They have no influence on coverage.)

Cisneros’ team has reached out to high school and college voters in the area to boost Gen Z turnout in this election with the help of fellow first-time voter, Joshua Avila.  Avila, a 19-year-old from Hacienda Heights, is Cisneros’ Deputy Political Director. The student is putting his UCLA education on halt to staff the highly-watched campaign. During a conversation at the campaign headquarters, Avila said he was inspired to join this race to flip his district, in favor of someone who represents his values.  
“I was born and raised here; I grew up in Hacienda Heights,” Avila said. “This is my home. For all my life, this district has been represented by a Republican – the same Republican – Ed Royce.”
Avila described Royce as “the epitome of someone who doesn’t represent [him] or [his] values.” As a gay man, Avila said he looked for a candidate who would stand up for him and his family’s interests in Washington.
“What attracted me first to Gil [was] the fact that he was willing to say and stand up for gay rights,” he said. “If Gil gets elected, I’ll finally feel like I’ve got a voice, like I won’t be silenced.”  
However, Avila feels that if Kim gets elected, she’ll be “like Ed Royce 2.0″ and that if he were to go to her office, she wouldn’t even want to speak with him. 
While Generation Z aligns its beliefs and political interests with social issues and current events, members are still statistically the least likely to vote in the midterm elections.
Andrea Estrada, a 19-year-old first-time voter in the 39th, recognizes that young people are discouraged from the political process and may not vote. However, she hopes the 2018 midterms will change that.
“I want young people to vote,” Estrada said. “I hope that they vote, but statistically speaking, young people just don’t vote. I hope that this could be the change.”

With a close battleground race in the 39th, the Gen Z vote has the potential to swing the district. According to CIRCLE, the 39th District is in the top 10 elections to watch where young voters might decide the election. To determine the top 10 congressional districts, the Youth Electoral Significance Index (YESI) “utilizes indicators of demographics, historical voting patterns, and projected competitiveness to produce a ranking of the states and districts where young people (ages 18-29) have the highest potential for impact on the 2018 elections.” According to CIRCLE, over 110,000 young people live in the 39th, which is “roughly 18% of the population—the highest proportion for any District in [CIRCLE] top-10.” 

Top 10 Congressional Districts (CIRCLE)

In this highly contested race, Generation Z could be the difference Nov. 6.